Croker-Rhyne Co., Inc.

Main Page  |   Philosophy  |  Current Recommendations  |  Newsletter Archives
Contact Us

January 24, 2006
I know I just keep hammering away on this but I am trying to get as many of you in Cotton as possible....BEFORE it leaps out of here. Obviously, this is just my opinion but the combination of the chart look and the way fundamentals are developing continues to have me believing a big bull move is in the works...and that what has recently been a quiet 7 week upswing is about to shift into a higher gear.
Demand: The United States is responsible for about 1/3 of the world's export market in Cotton. This season's exports are currently running at a record pace, inclusive of December's monthly export sales number being 6 times that of a year ago, much of that demand coming from China.
Supply: Texas is our largest Cotton producing state accounting for about 35% of this year's harvest. The majority of Texas' cotton is grown in West Texas where they have just entered their record 88th day without measurable rainfall. This drought surpasses the previous record of 85 days set in 1922....As a consequence, subsoil moisture in West Texas is virtually nil. During the next 30-45 day, if no rainfall occurs, or only in negligible amounts, , there is a lot of acreage that simply will not be planted. To say the least, this would have a major impact on cotton prices.
I still see July trading at least into the mid 70's.
Give me a call if interested...
Bill Rhyne
Main Page   |  Philosophy  |  Current Recommendations  |  Newsletter Archives 
Contact Us