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November 18, 2025
Cattle on the verge
of crashing again…
“Straight down” down in
futures contracts is an accurate depiction of how the markets DO often move
when failing from bull market highs…and beginning a Bear Market…But that
does not mean there won’t be occasional 2-3 weeks pauses along the way that
give misguided hope to the trading masses who are long, losing money and
thinking/hoping that “this is just a pullback.”
I firmly believe the Cattle Complex has spent the last
few weeks doing exactly that…pausing and creating the hope for everyone in
the cattle industry that “the smallest herd in history” story still can
turn the market back up…And it won’t. I SURE AS HELL DON’T KNOW WHAT COMES
NEXT, BUT FOR MY MONEY, I SEE THE ODDS BEING EXTREMLEY HIGH THAT THE NEXT 3-6 WEEKS WILL BE
ABSOLUTELY DEVASTATING ON THE DOWNSIDE.
I CONTINUE TO RECOMMEND
BEING SHORT LIVE CATTLE AND/OR FEEDER CATTLE..
Here are just a few examples of the “hope building
pauses” I referred to above.
 
And here is where we are
today…
And here is the current
Dec 2025 contract where the low close is 218.77…or about 1 cent away now…If
that low goes, the odds for another hard leg down go up a lot…And if Live
Cattle futures start cracking again, you’d better believe that buying in
Feeders (with those guys already losing big, big money) is going to almost
totally disappear.
Here are put options I like here…
Live Cattle
Feeder Cattle
Call if you want to talk about this…or any
of the other trades I am currently recommending….
Thanks,
Bill
770-425-7241
866-578-1001
All
option prices in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All
charts, unless otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.
FUTURES
TRADING IS NOT FOR EVERYONE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE
SUBSTANTIAL. THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE
FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE YOUR TRADING EXPERIENCE
WILL BE SIMILAR TO PAST PERFORMANCE.
The author of this piece currently trades for his own
account and has a financial interest in the following derivative products
mentioned within: Live Cattle, Feeder Cattle
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