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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss
and may not be suitable for everyone. Only risk capital should be used when investing in
the markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for
you in light of your financial condition. The opinions and viewpoints
discussed herein are entirely my own. No
representation is being made that a specific strategy or discipline will
guarantee success or profits. Fundamental factors, seasonal and
weather trends, and current events may have already been factored into the
markets. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future
results. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable
sources; however, individuals acting on this information alone are responsible
for their own actions. This material is, or is in the
nature of, a solicitation.
This newsletter is my sales tool. If you like my ideas
and want to act on them, I would obviously appreciate
having some of your trading done here with me.
For more info or consultation…
Landline 770-425-7241
Cell 770-366-3070
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Thanks…Bill Rhyne
September 22, 2026
Crude is going down.
Treasury Bonds are going up.
BUY BONDS NOW
This first chart is Crude Oil going back about 50 years. It
does jump around…does have big upside moves, usually Middle East conflict
inspired…but then inevitably kind of settles down as producers and users (both
BIG businesses) get the kinks figured out… whatever the geopolitical stimulus
might be… and prices go back to “normal.” The truth is, only about 20%
of the world’s oil actually passes through the Straits of Hormuz and I’m
thinking that the past six months have easily given the big players plenty of
time to adjust to the current reality…and that we have reached the point that,
regardless of any further wartime escalation, Crude Oil prices have probably fully accounted for
the shipping disruptions that are now make almost daily headlines…With this in
mind, I view it as highly possible prices have seen their highs…and will now be
working their way back down to where they were before this whole useless mess
of a war got started.
High inflation, as defined by the Consumer Price Index
(CPI), is the enemy of the Bond market…And yes, it has been elevated but I
think that is about to change…for the good…And it will be VERY bullish for
Treasury Bonds
What is THE big headline today? Diesel!!!!! And I do think
that prices there have reached a point at which demand either falls sharply,
and with it energy prices…OR the high prices of both
Diesel and Gasoline DO finally CRUSH the American consumer…and with it the
economy…with BOTH of those scenarios, I believe, ultimately being bullish for
the Bond market.
Chart: St. Louis Fed
I continue to recommend buying the Treasury Bond market
here…and also to remind you that the Fed raising short term rates is BULLISH
for the Bond market.
Here’s the same long term chart I
posted a last week…
This is an option I like here…
I know from experience that when it’s time to buy the Bond
market, virtually 100% of the opinion out there will be saying exactly the
opposite…And I have said and understood this for decades…that there is no other
market where the supposed experts (really just sheep-following suits that
brokerage houses appoint as “analysts” or “strategists” and assume it just
takes knowing a few facts to predict this shit) are so perennially deadass on
the wrong side of what is happening. Am I wrong sometimes? Obviously, but some
of you reading this are familiar with my opinion in rates going back to 1984 (a
major buy) and will know that I AM (or have been) more right about interest
rates (in BOTH directions) than just about anybody out there…and while I sure as hell might be
wrong now…which can mean losing whatever you invest, I am telling you that, to
me, EVERYTHING ABOUT THIS SET UP IS SCREAMING BUY…Also to say,
this ain’t the cattle market.
Don’t just sit there and lap up the nonsense from NYC…and do
nothing when you DO know how one-sided all the supposed bank and brokerage
house “logic” really is right now.
Call me if you want to get on this with me…
Thanks,
Bill
Now on X - @CrokerRhyneCo
770-425-7241
866-578-1001
All
option prices in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All charts,
unless otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.
FUTURES
TRADING IS NOT FOR EVERYONE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL.
THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT
OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE
RESULTS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE YOUR TRADING EXPERIENCE WILL BE SIMILAR TO PAST
PERFORMANCE.
The author of this piece currently trades for his own
account and has a financial interest in the following derivative products
mentioned within: Treasury Bonds