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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss
and may not be suitable for everyone. Only risk capital should be used when investing in
the markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for
you in light of your financial condition. The opinions and viewpoints
discussed herein are entirely my own. No
representation is being made that a specific strategy or discipline will
guarantee success or profits. Fundamental factors, seasonal and
weather trends, and current events may have already been factored into the
markets. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future
results. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable
sources; however, individuals acting on this information alone are responsible
for their own actions. This material is, or is in the
nature of, a solicitation.
This newsletter is my sales tool. If you like my ideas
and want to act on them, I would obviously appreciate
having some of your trading done here with me.
And I am now on X, and updating my opinions almost daily…
So if you do want to know more regarding my thinking,
Follow me on X at @CrokerRhyneCo
For more info or consultation…
Landline 770-425-7241
Cell 770-366-3070
Also…If you would like to
receive my free research at the same time it is published, contact me and I
will add your name to my email list.
Thanks…Bill Rhyne
September 1, 2026
It ain’t 2025…
With Gold, Silver and Bitcoin having recently rallied a bit
during the past month (after earlier this year TOTALLY baffling and surprising
all the NYC experts, and the entire investor world, by crashing for 30%, 55%
and 52% respectively), bullish internet talk is again percolating amongst the
forever wrong brokerage house “strategists” (what a joke) and analysts. Yep.
According to them, all three markets are now heading back towards their
all-time highs…and probably beyond, to which I’ll just say: This is NOT last
year when the trading masses speculatively jumped on those bandwagons when they
were hot as shit…and DID have spectacular upside runs…UNTIL everybody had been
sucked IN, and they then, quite normally, just WENT ABSOLUTELY IN THE TANK…and
did so in the face of inflation, wars, central bank buying and all of the other
MYTHS that represent EXACTLY all of the reasons for those markets to go higher.
I started recommending Short Gold and
Silver back in early March and then moved to the sidelines about a month
ago. With Gold now being about $700 off its July low, and Silver having risen
about $15, as noted
on X last week I have been reinstating those short positions and
RECOMMENDING SELLING FUTURES AND/OR
BUYING PUTS IN BOTH GOLD AND SILVER, looking for a decline to about $3700 in
Gold and $45 in Silver. Even though the masses were DEFINITELY
surprised by the collapse in precious metals, my guess is they are still
hanging on to their positions…bought at stratospheric prices…and we have
therefore not yet seen that next NORMAL stage in the bull-to-bear cycle where
everybody DOES finally give up and LIQUIDATION SELLING COMES FROM EVERYWHERE.
Experience long ago taught me that nobody EVER wants to
short Gold and Silver so I’m not going to waste my time with specific
recommendations. I will say that if you are interested in doing anything with
this, I am personally buying put options as well as shorting futures…Also to
mention there are mini futures contracts in which, in gold, $100 equals $1000,
and in Silver, $1 = $1000.
Recommend taking profits on
Long Cotton
And moving to the sidelines
(temporarily)
I have temporarily exited my Long Cotton positions. I look
for the market to continue substantially higher but just see this as a good
place to take some profits.
The Collapse Continues…
Still Shorting Feeder Cattle & Live Cattle
I continue to recommend being short both Live Cattle and
Feeder Cattle. As I keep writing, basically the entire cattle industry owns
calves and Feeders that are losing bigger and bigger dollars with every lower
close we see in Live Cattle and Cash Cattle prices. Put that together with rising
feed costs and you have then an equation that is basically: A ton of selling
and a vacuum of new buyers, which I see leading to what I can only regard as a
straight down collapse of a magnitude NOBODY in the business can even begin to
imagine. No, I do NOT know what’s coming but I do know that what
has been an “orderly” descent so far…CAN turn into a falling knife sort of
market…and at this point, that is what I am personally looking for in this
trade.
Still Shorting Soybean Oil
I have been dead
wrong recently in being short in Corn, Wheat and the
Soybean Complex.
Nevertheless, I do think this latest weather driven (I think) run will
end somewhere soon, and as weather
markets DO have a tendency to make sharp reversals,
then quite possibly retrace most or even all of the gains made since their
respective rallies began in June. MY IMMEDIATE FOCUS IS TO BE SOYBEAN OIL.
The Stock Market
I continue to view the
Stock Market and Stock Indices from the short side. Between my
long held opinion that speculation is ENORMOUSLY more rampant than I have ever
seen it (I’m 76), with the investing public loaded up to their gills in Wall
Street hyped stocks, cryptocurrencies, precious metals, etc., AND the politics
of buffoonery and hate the USA and world are now experiencing (we’re basically
at war with the rest of the planet…with the exception, remarkably, of a few
dictatorial regimes with whom we are now “buddies”) AND my firm belief that
that the IRAN WAR is NOT going away, that there is NO way Iran is even close to
letting Trump off the hook…AND our new “war” with Canada, our biggest trading
partner…AND with the American consumer just simply getting clocked by
inflation…With all
that, and who in the hell knows what else is yet to come from the White House,
on any other number of fronts, I find it difficult to imagine stocks going
anywhere on the upside. Of course, we’re gonna
see this or that hot stock making headlines, but overall? I VIEW ANY SIGN THAT THE INDICES
ARE ROLLING OVER AS POTENTIALLY BEING THE BEGINNING OF A TRUE BEAR MARKET IN
STOCKS…and no, it doesn’t have to be some sort of nasty
crash…just a long, long period where all of the air comes out and the public,
one more time, gets whacked by all the suits in New York City.
Call me if you agree…and want some real numbers as to the
dollars involved. All three indices also have “Micro-mini” contracts.
Still see the Treasury Bonds as…
THE paper
instrument to BUY
When it comes to long term investing in paper instruments,
there are two major choices…Stocks and Bonds…And throughout their history,
there have been periods during which investor funds significantly leave Bonds
and go into Stocks, as well as times when those funds leave Stocks and go into
Bonds…My guess is that the latter is about to occur as the current EUPHORIA in
Stocks turns into disappointment and then selling during the months ahead…with
at least some significant percentage of those liquidated funds heading into US
Treasuries…and thereby pushing them higher…meaning, yes, LONG TERM INTEREST RATES WILL BE
GOING LOWER…which, obviously, is pretty much dead opposite what the majority of
Wall Street financial media geniuses are predicting. And yeah,
those are the same people who were all over Buying Gold and Silver back in
January at the all-time highs.
Not that it means I will be right about this, but this
market is where I made my living in this business…for years. Again, I might be
dead, dead wrong here, but I do “know” what a bond market bottom looks, sounds,
and feels like.
Enough for one day…Contact me if anything here interests
you…
Thanks,
Bill
Now on X - @CrokerRhyneCo
770-425-7241
866-578-1001
All
option prices in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All charts,
unless otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.
FUTURES
TRADING IS NOT FOR EVERYONE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL.
THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT
OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
THERE IS NO GUARANTEE YOUR TRADING EXPERIENCE WILL BE SIMILAR TO PAST
PERFORMANCE.
The author of this piece currently trades for his own
account and has a financial interest in the following derivative products
mentioned within: All of them