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June 25, 2025

 

More evidence that the top is in…

 

In recent weeks, we have had MORE news citing Screwworms in Mexico prohibiting imports of Feeder Cattle to the United States…And last Friday we had a purportedly bullish USDA Cattle on Feed Report…And of course, THE catchphrase “the smallest herd in 60 years,” is endlessly repeated somewhere in the ag media every day…not to mention the statement I’m routinely hearing and seeing from more than a few sources, “Cattle just won’t go down.”

 

HOWEVER…In the face of nothing but bullish news and opinion, BOTH LIVE CATTLE AND FEEDER CATTLE ARE ON THE VERGE OF CLOSING LOWER FOR THEIR 3RD WEEK IN A ROW…And while this 3 week downturn does not represent absolute evidence that they have topped out, I AM TAKING IT AS THAT…and so if you have been watching this, KNOWING that the top was coming sooner or later, I urgently hope you will NOT just sit there now and wonder, “Is this it?” Both markets are now more than 10 cents off their highs, and per the histories I have shown you so many times, it is highly probable that the next thing we see…and I mean immediately so…is BIG, rapid downside action.

 

SO…IF YOU DO HAVE ANY INTENT TO PARTICIPATE IN THIS, I URGE YOU TO PICK UP THE PHONE AND GET SOMETHING ON NOW.

 

 

 

 

 

Sell them both…or either one of them…but DO just get SOMETHING sold here…NOT when they’ve dropped another 10-15 cents and start making commodity market headlines.

 

Do it now. Pick up the phone and call me…As I’ve said before, to me, this is a once a decade sort of trade.

 

And there’s also this…Updating the Corn market…

 

I continue to scream, “GET SHORT CORN!” Farmers ARE still loaded with last fall's harvest, and with this latest 3 day, 20 cent downside breakout being an absolutely horrendous surprise to them, I look for selling to be coming from everywhere...nonstop...and straight down to the $3.50 area...where the cash market was...just 10 months ago.

 

 

DITTO for Soybeans…

 

Thanks,

Bill

 

770-425-7241

866-578-1001

 

All option prices in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All charts, unless otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.

 

FUTURES TRADING IS NOT FOR EVERYONE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE YOUR TRADING EXPERIENCE WILL BE SIMILAR TO PAST PERFORMANCE.

 

The author of this piece currently trades for his own account and has a financial interest in the following derivative products mentioned within: Feeder Cattle, Live Cattle, Corn, Soybeans