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March
12, 2025
Trump met
yesterday with a group of “Top CEO’s,” undoubtedly to try and quell fears
and boost the stock market back up, which, in my opinion, has been reeling
lately for two major reasons, one being, as I have stated for months, that
Everybody is Long Everything…and the other being that DT’s erratic,
boisterous and combative desire to come off as the great
wheeler-dealer-negotiator is blowing up in his face as all of his “targets”
have seen his act before…and are not backing down, thus leading to something
approaching of a commercial paralysis, both internationally and
domestically…due to the fact that everybody, including diplomats, CEO’s AND
the public are wondering, “WTF is coming next?” And until they know, they
lean toward doing NOTHING. No big decisions. No new factories. No
expansion. No spending, etc…And when you put that
together with the government job gutting taking place (that DOES/WILL have
a downstream impact on private sector employment as well), you then have a
nasty combination that has the obvious potential to blow consumers and
businesses out of the water…and so, quite naturally this one-two punch has
become disastrous for the Stock Market…which, in itself, is definitely NOT
a positive for the economy. Plain and simple, when all that equity value
DISAPPEARS from the books of just about every company on the exchanges, it
CAN lead to businesses freezing their plans, and from an individual
investors standpoint, it CAN directly impact the way consumers spend
money…or rather NOT spend money…The point is, a sharply declining stock
market CAN lead the economy right into a contraction or recession, which IS
why Trump, I assure you, might SAY that the crashing market doesn’t worry
him, but you can bet that it very much DOES…especially when he, and his
flip flop rants and policies, are quite obviously the reason for the
downturn (although you know he will lay the blame elsewhere).
So what comes next? Who knows? I, and nobody else, could
possibly have any idea as to what his next moves will be…whether it be just
full bore, in-your-face, “BIGGER tariffs for you…and you…and you!”, or
whether he might suddenly become more conciliatory…NO Idea…But the truth
is, I don’t think a “nice guy Donald” is going to make any difference as THE DAMAGE HAS BEEN
DONE…that with nobody knowing what to expect from him…with nobody knowing
what policies will be slashed today then reversed tomorrow…and with his
only diplomatic tools seeming to be threats and crazy numbered tariffs…I
just don’t think that a few days or weeks of “calm” are, for starters,
going to turn the stock market around…and I certainly don’t know how far
down it’s going, but I don’t think we’re anywhere near the lows…or the
first big stopping point.
And somebody
please tell me, WHEN IN THE HELL DID CANADA SUDDENLY REPLACE THE OLD SOVIET
UNION AS THE NUMBER ONE THREAT TO THE USA…AND THE WORLD? WHEN DID CANADA
BECOME OUR WORST ENEMY?
And Corn
and Soybeans
ARE
TANKING FROM HERE
It does not
mean it will work, but two of my principal trading reminders, “The best way
is going with it,” and, “Look for range trade set
ups that put you in a position to win big. There is no better trade,
especially on the short side,” are EXEMPLIFIED here in Soybeans…If
I’m wrong, and this is the bottom that a “1000” analysts have called for,
you will lose money. But if I am right, I think it will pay every dollar
I’ve shown as possible here.
Call if you
want to stop do anything with this…
Thanks,
Bill
770-425-7241
866-578-1001
All option prices
in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All charts, unless
otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.
FUTURES TRADING IS
NOT FOR EVERYONE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL.
THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN
LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF
FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE YOUR TRADING EXPERIENCE WILL BE
SIMILAR TO PAST PERFORMANCE.
The author of
this piece currently trades for his own account and has a financial
interest in the following derivative products mentioned within: Stock
Indices, Corn, Soybeans
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