|
January 23, 2025
I have been expecting a major Bear Market Decline in the
Cattle Complex for about a year now. There HAVE been 20-30 cent selloffs in
both Feeders and Live Cattle but in every case they
have turned back up…and in fact, both markets have made New Record Highs
during the past few weeks…right up until today…WHICH MEANS I HAVE BEEN DEAD
WRONG…AND LOSING MONEY for anyone who followed my recommendations…and
in my own case, quite a lot.
BUT…and I am not just being bullheaded…With 50 years of
historical evidence supporting my observation that FEEDER CATTLE ROUTINELY END
THEIR BULL MARKETS WITH “V” TYPE REVERSALS…THAT WITHIN A MATTER OF DAYS
THEY WILL GO FROM ROCKETING STRAIGHT UP…TO REVERSING STRAIGHTER BACK DOWN…and
they do it more FREQUENTLY than any other market we trade…I believe this trade
STILL, and immediately so, represents the potential for a MONSTER (see numbers
below) profit hit…And as I have repeated ad nauseum, EVERY one
of their reversals comes when virtually 100% of the news suggests, “NO way they
can really go down much from here.” And then they DO…again, over
and over for the past 50 years.
If you have been in this with me…all I can offer is a
worthless apology…but the next thing I’ll say is:
DON’T blink here. Don’t think, “What if I lose again?” Don’t think, “Really
Bill. You still don’t know how low the cattle herd numbers are?” And DON’T
think, “I’m gonna watch it a while.”
DON’T do any of that. On the first chart here, just
look at where this market is. And what it DOES do…which is reverse, TOTALLY,
from day to the next…over and over and over…And put some money on the
table…AGAIN.
And if you’re on my newsletter list and have NOT been doing
this, and losing money, with me, I’ll say, “Lucky you…But GET ON NOW.”
SOME TRADES ARE TREMENDOUSLY BETTER THAN OTHERS…AND THIS IS
ONE OF THEM.
These numbers are not some wild ass possibility.
This IS how this market moves and the potential profits shown here are very
real…Obviously, if I am wrong you could lose 100% of
what you invest…But guess what, if 3 months from now this HAS become a loser, I
will be doing it again…know that the extremely high percentage potential gains
will still be same.
And yeah…I’ve BEEN wrong on this…but that does NOT mean I
still will be…This IS going to happen.
CALL ME AND GET ON
THIS!
Thanks,
Bill
770-425-7241
866-578-1001
All
option prices in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All charts,
unless otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.
FUTURES
TRADING IS NOT FOR EVERYONE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL.
THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT
OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE
RESULTS. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE YOUR TRADING EXPERIENCE WILL BE SIMILAR TO PAST
PERFORMANCE.
The author of this piece currently trades for his own
account and has a financial interest in the following derivative products
mentioned within: Feeder Cattle