Croker-Rhyne Co., Inc.

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August 29, 2021

As long as I have done this, and however much valuable experience I believe 4 decades has given me, the timing of WHEN a large move is about to start is always a difficult guess. But I do know that they most often occur following large sideways action, and just as often they come as a TOTAL surprise to the masses of analysts and traders…And I also know that the best time to bet on a large move IS after they’ve been going sideways…and with row crops, especially as they are heading into harvest…which IS right now.

For any number of reasons, I think the Soybean market IS about to make the same 25%-30% crap out…in a period of weeks…that I’ve repeatedly documented as a norm going back 40 years…

But, in the end, it’s all about the math and what happens to options values depending on which way the market does eventually go…And the numbers shown below, I think, are as good as it gets. Using what I really believe is the best option combination there is when you “know” something big is coming, one way or the other…The recommendation here is a straight up “1 and 1,” as it QUICKLY gives you the opportunity to get 100% of your investment back if we rally…or if Soybeans do start down, to just sit tight with the assumption the collapse HAS begun and they are going to knock off at least 25%.

 Forget what I think…Just do the math here…


Call me if you want to know more…





All option prices in this newsletter include all fees and commissions. All charts, unless otherwise noted, are by Aspen Graphics and CRB.

The author of this piece currently trades for his own account and has a financial interest in the following derivative products mentioned within: Soybeans

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